The Class of 2015 is preparing to don their cap and cloaks, turn their tassels, and transition from college into the "real world" of the workplace. Commencement speakers will encourage new graduates to follow their dreams and change the world, but many soon-to-be grads are worrying more about the immediate question: "Will I be able to find a job?"
New graduates are no strangers to the effects of the Great Recession. When they started their college years in 2011, the graduating class had over 10% unemployment and 19% underemployment. Many of those in the Class of 2015 witnessed their siblings who graduated during the worst years of the recession founder, scrambling to find full-time employment and moving back in with their families.
This year's college graduates are entering into the best job market since the Recession; however, they will still be competing for entry-level jobs and may find it difficult to earn wages that will help chip away at their student debt. Employers expect to hire 9.6% more college graduates this year than in 2014; organizations also reported that they have more job openings for new graduates than the previous year (NACE, 4/15/15). The Class of 2015 may not be competing against each other as fiercely as in the past, but the market is still competitive, and employers receive an average of 23 applications per posting (The Wall Street Journal, 4/15/15). Despite several years of continued job growth, the unemployment rate for those in their 20s with a four-year degree actually rose last year to 12%, putting a damper on the optimistic expectations for this year's new graduates (CBS News, 4/16/15).
New graduates in certain fields face better prospects than others. Health care, STEM industries, and accounting and finance offer the best growth and some of the highest salaries for newly minted college grads. Health care careers are expected to grow by nearly 20% between now and 2020, engineering has a similar growth projection (and some of the highest starting salaries for new graduates), and accounting jobs are expected to grow by 17% (Fortune, 4/7/15). College graduates with degrees that are less in-demand may face more trouble finding a job with decent pay. Less than 10% of companies are making it a priority to interview and hire those with degrees in communication, journalism, liberal arts, and education (CareerBuilder, 4/28/15).
Members of the Class of 2015 have high hopes for themselves, despite the fact that nearly half (49%) of college graduates from 2013 and 2014 consider themselves underemployed or working in a job that does not require a college degree (MarketWatch, 5/12/15). In contrast to this and perhaps reflecting the optimism of youth, some 8 in 10 college graduates are confident about their working future and report that their education prepared them for the workforce (Accenture, 2015).
With 58% of new graduates reporting that they will leave college with more than $50,000 in student loans (MarketWatch, 5/12/15), wages are a concern for new graduates. Although 33% of employers plan to raise the starting salaries of college graduates that they hire, 57% have no plans to change starting salary offers, and 26% plan to offer less than $30,000 a year (CareerBuilder, 4/28/15). Just like hiring, the salary predictions for the Class of 2015 will vary widely depending on their degree. Those that leave college with an engineering degree can eagerly await starting pay upwards of $60,000 a year, while those carrying degrees in education, the arts, or communication can expect to make less than $40,000 per year (PayScale, 2015).
Although anyone graduating in 2008 or previous years would be envious of the job market for the Class of 2015, this year's new graduates will face still face a tough (although improved) job market. If companies hire as predicted, many new graduates will be able to answer the pressing question of whether they will find a job with a solid "Yes." However, will their presumptions about the working world match with the reality of what companies expect? Find out in Part 2 of our series next week.
Readers, what are your predictions for the Class of 2015? Comment and let us know!